The QuestFOR PROFIT

A journal of ideas,
enterprise & everyday economics.

How long would new equipment take to pay for itself?

A simple payback calculation is only as good as the savings entered into it. Test what happens when the business uses the equipment less.

The Quest for Profit AN INSTALLED-COST CHECK 1 Cost 6,000 up front 2 Savings 1,200 per year, net 3 Payback 5 years in this case
Editorial illustration

A workshop can buy a machine that costs less to run than the one it uses now. The seller highlights the energy savings. The owner wants to know how many years the savings could take to recover what the purchase costs. Simple payback answers that question under a stated set of assumptions.

Calculate the cash that goes out first

Suppose a fictional replacement costs $5,500 plus $500 to deliver and install. The initial cost is $6,000. Compare that with the relevant alternative. If keeping the existing machine would require a repair immediately, record that cost on the alternative side. For our example, assume the existing machine could stay in use with no initial outlay.

OpenStax’s payback guide explains that with constant annual cash flows, the initial investment divided by the annual amount gives the number of years to recover it. When savings vary from year to year, track the cumulative cash movements until they recover the initial amount.

Use net savings and test a quieter year

Suppose the workshop expects $32 in lower energy costs each working week, and uses the machine for 48 weeks. Annual energy savings would be $1,536. The replacement also adds $336 in annual maintenance compared with the existing machine. The expected net cash saving is $1,200 a year. Dividing $6,000 by $1,200 gives five years of simple payback.

If use is lower and weekly savings fall to $22, energy savings would be $1,056 over the same 48 weeks. After the $336 maintenance cost, net savings become $720 a year. The same $6,000 outlay would then take a little over eight years to recover. List the usage assumptions before choosing which estimate to present.

The U.S. Department of Energy’s facility guidance considers energy and operations savings when looking at projects. At workshop scale, check equipment readings, operating hours and maintenance quotes. Label any assumed resale value or one-off cost so it can be changed independently.

Compare payback with the decision you face

Ask how long the business expects to use the machine and what happens if it needs a major repair. A five-year payback leaves open what the workshop saves in year six and how much it values cash it receives years from now. A full comparison can include operating costs over the machine’s expected life and discount future cash flows. Keep the simple payback beside those figures as a measure of how long the initial spending stays unrecovered.

Sources & further reading

  1. OpenStax payback period method

    Explains simple payback for level or varying cash flows and its limitations.

  2. U.S. Department of Energy guide to project cost savings

    Lists types of energy and operating savings to consider when estimating a project’s cash effects.